In this "peace talk: policy and research" we discuss state fragility and an online tool to forecast conflict with academic researchers as well as policy makers. 1:50 Presentation of conflictforecast.org by Pr.Hannes Mueller 25:00 Sara Batmanglich (World Bank) 38:12 Dr.Gary Milante (SIPRI) The online tool freely available at https://conflictforecast.org : "Conflict forecast provides forecasts for outbreaks of political violence and escalations into internal armed conflict. Our method based on five years of academic research and exploits millions of newspaper articles through automated summaries. Our model has been tested extensively by us and in a forecast competition organized by the Violence Early-Warning System (ViEWS) in which our approach performed extremely well. The goal of this webpage is to a) help preventive efforts by making our risk forecasts public, b) make our method accessible to a broader public through cutting-edge data visualization tools and c) make our forecast histories available to practitioners and research teams world-wide." Hannes Mueller researcher at the Institute for Economic Analysis (IAE(CSIC)) and Professor at the Barcelona School of Economics (BSE) starts by presenting his online tool. Then, Sara Batmanglich a Senior Operations Officer (Strategy and Analytics) in the Fragility, Conflict and Violence (FCV) Group at the World Bank and Dr.Gary Milante is Programme Director and Focal Point for the Global Registry of Violent Deaths (GReVD) initiative, will discuss the online tool. Full event available on the channel (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UHw-m4fW0Aw). This is the recording of the fourth event from our new initiative: "PEACE TALKS: policy and research" (https://www.peace-talks.org/). This initiative aims to connect conflict-related scientific researchers, field experts and decision-makers. This project is lead by Pr.Massimo Morelli, Pr.Dominic Rohner (@dominic_rohner), and Dr.Quentin Gallea (@quentin_gallea). Subscribe to see more: http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC52GXfhCdGSyEcRz4ObFc_g?sub_confirmation=1

In this "peace talk: policy and research" we discuss state fragility and an online tool to forecast conflict with academic researchers as well as policy makers. The online tool freely available at https://conflictforecast.org : "Conflict forecast provides forecasts for outbreaks of political violence and escalations into internal armed conflict. Our method based on five years of academic research and exploits millions of newspaper articles through automated summaries. Our model has been tested extensively by us and in a forecast competition organized by the Violence Early-Warning System (ViEWS) in which our approach performed extremely well. The goal of this webpage is to a) help preventive efforts by making our risk forecasts public, b) make our method accessible to a broader public through cutting-edge data visualization tools and c) make our forecast histories available to practitioners and research teams world-wide." Hannes Mueller researcher at the Institute for Economic Analysis (IAE(CSIC)) and Professor at the Barcelona School of Economics (BSE) starts by presenting his online tool. Then, Sara Batmanglich a Senior Operations Officer (Strategy and Analytics) in the Fragility, Conflict and Violence (FCV) Group at the World Bank and Dr.Gary Milante is Programme Director and Focal Point for the Global Registry of Violent Deaths (GReVD) initiative, will discuss the online tool. Full event available on the channel (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UHw-m4fW0Aw). This is the recording of the fourth event from our new initiative: "PEACE TALKS: policy and research" (https://www.peace-talks.org/). This initiative aims to connect conflict-related scientific researchers, field experts and decision-makers. This project is lead by Pr.Massimo Morelli, Pr.Dominic Rohner (@dominic_rohner), and Dr.Quentin Gallea (@quentin_gallea). Subscribe to see more: http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC52GXfhCdGSyEcRz4ObFc_g?sub_confirmation=1

Social media and violence may be intertwined in various ways. In this third event, our speakers explore the potential effects of Donald Trump's tweets on hate crimes in the US. Drawing on insights from policy and research, we will discuss the role of social media, governments, and potential policies to reduce violence. Carlo Schwarz, Professor of economics (Bocconi University) with publications in top economics' journals will start by presenting his research on social media and hate crime (US and Germany). Then, Adam Cooper, who oversees digital conflict at the Humanitarian Dialogue Center (oldest private diplomacy organization), will share his insights based on a decade of negotiation operations in Asia. Finally, our panel will be completed by, Marina G. Petrova (Bocconi), post-doc researcher in political economy with expertise in political violence and conflict process, and Milena Djourelova, PhD candidate (University Pompeu Fabra) doing research on media and violence. Full event available on the channel (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tmmTich-f8A). This is the recording of the second event from our new initiative: "PEACE TALKS: policy and research" (https://www.peace-talks.org/). This initiative aims to connect conflict-related scientific researchers, field experts and decision-makers. This project is lead by Pr.Massimo Morelli, Pr.Dominic Rohner (@dominic_rohner), and Dr.Quentin Gallea (@quentin_gallea). Subscribe to see more: http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC52GXfhCdGSyEcRz4ObFc_g?sub_confirmation=1

Social media and violence may be intertwined in various ways. In this third event, our speakers explore the potential effects of Donald Trump's tweets on hate crimes in the US. Drawing on insights from policy and research, we will discuss the role of social media, governments, and potential policies to reduce violence. Carlo Schwarz, Professor of economics (Bocconi University) with publications in top economics' journals will start by presenting his research on social media and hate crime (US and Germany). Then, Adam Cooper, who oversees digital conflict at the Humanitarian Dialogue Center (oldest private diplomacy organization), will share his insights based on a decade of negotiation operations in Asia. Finally, our panel will be completed by, Marina G. Petrova (Bocconi), post-doc researcher in political economy with expertise in political violence and conflict process, and Milena Djourelova, PhD candidate (University Pompeu Fabra) doing research on media and violence. This is the recording of the second event from our new initiative: "PEACE TALKS: policy and research" (https://www.peace-talks.org/). This initiative aims to connect conflict-related scientific researchers, field experts and decision-makers. This project is lead by Pr.Massimo Morelli, Pr.Dominic Rohner (@dominic_rohner), and Dr.Quentin Gallea (@quentin_gallea). Subscribe to see more: http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC52GXfhCdGSyEcRz4ObFc_g?sub_confirmation=1

In this second "Peace talks: policy and research" scientific researchers and field/policy experts discuss the reconciliation process. Pr.Oeindrila Dube (University of Chicago) starts by giving her insights on the topic through the lens of her research (publication in Science). Then, Pierre Hazan, field experts with many intervention in various conflict zones in the world, reacts and enrich the reflection. Full event available on the channel (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypCoRSGHx6E). This is the recording of the second event from our new initiative: "PEACE TALKS: policy and research" (https://www.peace-talks.org/). This initiative aims to connect conflict-related scientific researchers, field experts and decision makers. This project is lead by Pr.Massimo Morelli, Pr.Dominic Rohner (@dominic_rohner), and Dr.Quentin Gallea (@quentin_gallea). Subscribe to see more: http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC52GXfhCdGSyEcRz4ObFc_g?sub_confirmation=1

In this second "Peace talks: policy and research" scientific researchers and field/policy experts discuss the reconciliation process. Pr.Oeindrila Dube (University of Chicago) starts by giving her insights on the topic through the lens of her research (publication in Science). Then, Pierre Hazan, field experts with many intervention in various conflict zones in the world, reacts and enrich the reflection. 2:50 Speakers' introduction -ACADEMIC PART (Pr.Oeindrila Dube presenting her paper published in Science on reconciliation: https://science.sciencemag.org/content/352/6287/787) 4:28 Introduction 8:12 Claims about reconciliation 9:14 Field Experiment in Sierra Leone (RCT) 15:03 Results 23:50 Policy implications -FIELD/POLICY EXPERT PART (Pierre Hazan) 26:45 a. Vocabulary (translation) difficulty 28:37 b. Identity is a dynamic process 32:00 c. National/Local process (effect of who is doing the process) - OPEN DISCUSSION 36:15 Pr.Massimo Morelli 40:35 Pr.Dominic Rohner 42:24 Pr.Oeindrila Dube answers 50:10 Pr.Hannes Mueller 53:23 Pierre Hazan and Oeindrila Dube additional inputs This is the recording of the second event from our new initiative: "PEACE TALKS: policy and research" (https://www.peace-talks.org/). This initiative aims to connect conflict-related scientific researchers, field experts and decision makers. This project is lead by Pr.Massimo Morelli, Pr.Dominic Rohner (@dominic_rohner), and Dr.Quentin Gallea (@quentin_gallea). Subscribe to see more: http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC52GXfhCdGSyEcRz4ObFc_g?sub_confirmation=1

In this inaugural event from "PEACE TALKS: policy and research", two experts shed some lights on the current intricate situation in Myanmar. This discussion between a top scientific researcher, and experienced policy expert goes beyond the Professor Patrick Francois from UBC explains the strategic considerations and pitfalls of Myanmar's democratization path and the current conflict. Björn Gehrmann from the German Foreign Office provides a policy perspective on the issue. Peace Talks: Where research meets practice. This is the recording of the full inaugural event from our new initiative: "PEACE TALKS: policy and research" (https://www.peace-talks.org/). This initiative aims to connect conflict-related scientific researchers, field experts and decision makers. This project is lead by Pr.Massimo Morelli, Pr.Dominic Rohner (@dominic_rohner), and Dr.Quentin Gallea (@quentin_gallea). Subscribe to see more: http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC52GXfhCdGSyEcRz4ObFc_g?sub_confirmation=1

What’s going on in Myanmar today? And what might happen tomorrow? Pr.Patrick François, Director, Vancouver School of Economics at the University of British Columbia, analyse the situation in Myanmar through the lenses of his own scientific research on the topic. On Monday the 1st of February 2021, the conflict started, followed by a state of emergency, and general Ming Aung H'laing taking power. This is an extract from the inaugural event of the PEACE TALKS: policy and research (https://www.peace-talks.org/). This initiative aims to connect conflict-related scientific researchers, field experts and decision makers. This project is lead by Pr.Massimo Morelli, Pr.Dominic Rohner (@dominic_rohner), and Dr.Quentin Gallea (@quentin_gallea). Subscribe to see more: http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC52GXfhCdGSyEcRz4ObFc_g?sub_confirmation=1